AHDB Early Bird Survey sees significant boost for OSR

The survey, carried out in early November, indicates a 30% rise in the UK oilseed rape area compared with 2025, marking a recovery from last year’s 42-year low. However, even with the rebound, the projected area of 316,000 hectares remains well below the 391,000ha grown in 2023.

The findings suggest only a small increase in wheat area, up around 1%, while barley and oats plantings are expected to fall. The estimates are based on data gathered from around 70 agronomists representing roughly 600,000ha of arable land across the UK.

AHDB Cereals & Oilseeds senior analyst Helen Plant said oilseed rape was the 'standout' crop for the 2026 season.

“Oilseed rape is the stand out for 2026, with a 30 per cent rise to 316 Kha,” she said. “While this is a significant year-on-year rise, it’s coming from a very low base. The market remains challenging, with lower prices for cereals and reduced milling and malting premiums, as well as increased costs across all crops.

“Oilseed rape probably had a more favourable margin outlook compared to other crops, supported by good yields in 2025. The poor cereal yields of the past two years, ongoing agri-environment commitments and rotational needs are also likely to have influenced growers’ planting plans.”

Despite better drilling conditions this autumn, AHDB cautioned that weather uncertainty continues to make long-term predictions difficult. In recent years, the areas planted and ultimately harvested have differed significantly due to extreme weather events.

The EBS, conducted by The Andersons Centre with support from the Association of Independent Crop Consultants (AICC) and the Agricultural Industries Confederation (AIC), has a strong record of accurately forecasting national cropping trends.